Market Drama

Featuring Zoe CEO & Founder, Andres Garcia-Amaya, CFA

June 23rd, 2025 

Watch Time: 2.8 min.

Welcome to this week’s Market Drama! 

Stock Market Update:

  • S&P 500: Down 0.2% for the week, essentially flat.
  • Nasdaq: Also flat.
  • Oil: Up 1.3%, driven by renewed Middle East tensions.
  • Market Focus: Geopolitical risks, especially increased U.S. military involvement in Iran, limit further gains.

Economic Update:

  • Fed Meeting:
    • Rates held steady.
    • Still projects two rate cuts in the second half of 2025.
    • Revised outlook:
      • Growth expectations trimmed.
      • Unemployment forecast raised to 4.5%.
      • Core PCE inflation forecast increased to 3.1%.
  • Retail Sales (May):
    • Overall sales were affected by a sharp drop in auto sales (post-March tariff surge).
    • Core retail sales (control group): up 0.4%, rebounding from April’s decline.
  • Overall Picture:
    • The economy is showing steady, if slow, growth.
    • No immediate recession signals—but geopolitical tensions are dampening market momentum.

Next Week:

  • PCE Inflation
  • Consumer Confidence Survey

Stay tuned for next week.

– Andres

Disclosure: This material provided by Zoe Financial is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to serve as a substitute for personalized investment advice or as a recommendation or solicitation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Nothing in these materials is intended to serve as personalized tax and/or investment advice since the availability and effectiveness of any strategy is dependent upon your individual facts and circumstances. Zoe Financial is not an accounting firm- clients and prospective clients should consult with their tax professional regarding their specific tax situation. Opinions expressed by Zoe Financial are based on economic or market conditions at the time this material was written. Economies and markets fluctuate. Actual economic or market events may turn out differently than anticipated. Facts presented have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Zoe Financial, however, cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information, and certain information presented here may have been condensed or summarized from its original source. 

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